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Monday, November 3, 2008 12:00 AM

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Monday, November 3, 2008 03:45 PM

My Predictions...

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? 4 percentage points

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win? 311

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House? 6

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate? 26

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Jack Murtha (D)

6. Minn.-6 -- Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

7. Ga. Sen. -- Jim Martin (D)

8. Minn. Sen. -- Norm Coleman (R)

9. N.C. Sen. -- Kay Hagan (D)

TIE-BREAKER:

What time (EST) will the presidential race be called? 10:51pm

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:47 PM

predictions

1. +4% for obama

2. 338

3. +23 net gain in the house for democrats

4. +7 net gain in the senate for democrats

5. PA-12: Russell (R)

6. MINN-6: Tinklenberg (D)

7. GA-Senate: Martin (D)

8. MINN-Senate: Coleman (R)

9. NC-Senate: Hagan (D)

10. 10pm

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:49 PM

Election Pool

1. +3

2. 325

3. 13

4. 7

5. Russell

6. Tinklenberg

7. Chambliss

8. Coleman

9. Hagen

Tie-Breaker: 11:00 PM EST

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:49 PM

A free Salon subscription isn't much of a prize

I already slog through all the advertisements with ease. How about a T-shirt? Or a signed photo of Tracy Clark-Flory?

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:51 PM

My predictions

1. 3 percentage points

2. 308

3. 23

4. 7

5. Murtha (D)

6. Bachmann (R)

7. Chambliss (R)

8. Franken (D)

9. Hagan (D)

TIE-BREAKER: 11:22EST

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:51 PM

Election Predictions

1. 6.2%

2. 365

3. 34

4. 9

5. Murtha

6. Tinklenburg

7. Martin (in a runoff)

8. Franken

9. Hagan

10. 11:35 pm on November 4, 2008

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:52 PM

Whoops.

Let's try this again...

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? 4 percentage points

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win? 311

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House? 26

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate? 6

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Jack Murtha (D)

6. Minn.-6 -- Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

7. Ga. Sen. -- Jim Martin (D)

8. Minn. Sen. -- Norm Coleman (R)

9. N.C. Sen. -- Kay Hagan (D)

TIE-BREAKER:

What time (EST) will the presidential race be called? 10:51pm

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:55 PM

Pretty much the same as us doing the same thing with Glenn Greenwald...

I predict...that I will continue to eat obsessively until we have an outcome!

...that I will finish off yesterday's ribs and mac&cheese for lunch today.

I suspect I will have cheetos (the corn-nuts are gone) some time around 4:00.

I'm fairly certain that I will have some of Saturday's casserole and some asparagus for dinner.

I expect that I will snack on something disgusting before bed.

I think for breakfast tomorrow I will probably have waffles and sausage, 'cause it's election day and it will be good to start the day with comfort food. And there are all those blueberries in the freezer that need to be used...

I'll probably chew my fingernails as a mid-morning snack while I flip channels and websites.

For lunch and dinner, well I just haven't got that far yet.

But I'll be eating.

YOU BETCHA!

AND FINALLY...my prediction for Wednesday morning:

Catamitebastard EXPLODES! (Regardless of who wins but pleeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaassse let it be BO)

(except I also had a can of Vienna Sausages and some sweet pickles. Damn I want this over.)

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:57 PM

The Winning Predictions

1. 8 points

2. 371

3. 15

4. 9

5. Murtha

6. Tinklenburg

7. Martin

8. Coleman

9. Hagan

10. 10:59 pm

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:58 PM

i think its going to be awfully close

I believed a landslide would occur until a yesterday, now in the reactive mode.

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? 2 percentage points (538 (+5.5) - bradley effect (-5) plus cell phone factor (+1.5)

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win? 273 Kerry States plus Iowa

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House? 30

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate? 8

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Rep. Jack Murtha (D) vs. William Russell (R) Murtha

6. Minn.-6 -- Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) vs. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) Tinklenberg

7. Ga. Sen. -- Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) vs. Jim Martin (D) Martin

8. Minn. Sen. -- Sen. Norm Coleman (R) vs. Al Franken (D) Franken

9. N.C. Sen. -- Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Kay Hagan (D)Hagan, wishful thinking

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:59 PM

O by 9

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? (This should be expressed not as "52-48," but as "4 percentage points." Or, if you think McCain will win 52-48, "-4 percentage points.")

A: Obama by 9 points

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win?

A: 354

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House?

A: 26

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate?

A: 8

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Rep. Jack Murtha (D) vs. William Russell (R)

Murtha

6. Minn.-6 -- Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) vs. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

Tinklenberg

7. Ga. Sen. -- Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) vs. Jim Martin (D)

Martin

8. Minn. Sen. -- Sen. Norm Coleman (R) vs. Al Franken (D)

Franken

9. N.C. Sen. -- Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) vs. Kay Hagan (D)

Hagan

TIE-BREAKER:

What time (EST) will the presidential race be called? (For the purposes of the pool, we'll consider it called when any one of the three big cable networks or the Associated Press makes the announcement, whatever comes first.)

10:47 p.m.

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:59 PM

My predictions

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? 7 percentage points

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win? 364

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House? 9

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate? 35

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Jack Murtha (D)

6. Minn.-6 -- Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

7. Ga. Sen. -- Jim Martin (D)

8. Minn. Sen. -- Al Franken (d)

9. N.C. Sen. -- Kay Hagan (D)

Tie Braker- 9:30 eastern

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:01 PM

correction

273 kerry plus iowa, colorado and n.m.

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:01 PM

Let's do this

1. What will Obama's popular vote margin be? 3%

2. How many Electoral College votes will Obama win? 286

3. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the House? 19

4. How many seats will the Democrats gain (net) in the Senate? 5

Pick the winner in the following races:

5. Pa.-12 -- Rep. Jack Murtha (D)

6. Minn.-6 -- Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

7. Ga. Sen. -- Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R)

8. Minn. Sen. -- Al Franken (D)

9. N.C. Sen. -- Kay Hagan (D)

TIE-BREAKER: Not until 2 a.m. on 11/5

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:10 PM

predictions from a dem who still stings from '68

1. Obama +5.5%

2. 353

3. 28

4. 8

5. Russell

6. Tinklenberg

7. Chambliss

8. Franken

9. Hagen

10. 11:02 pm

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:13 PM

By the Numbers

1. 2%

2. 329

3. 15

4. 6

5. Murtha

6. Tinklenberg

7. Martin

8. Coleman

9. Dole

Tiebreaker: 11:30EST

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:14 PM

Election Predictions

1) Popular Vote Obama +2

2) Electoral Vote Obama 382

3) Democrats gain 28 in House

4) Democrats gain 8 in Senate

5) Murtha (D) loses to Russell (R)

6) Tinklenberg (D) over Bachmann (R)

7) Martin (D) over Chambliss (R)

8) Franken (D) over Coleman (R)

9) Hagan (D) over Dole (R)

Tie-Breaker

Race called at 10:49 PM

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:16 PM

I Say

1. 6 percentage points

2. 353

3. 22

4. 7

5. Jack Murtha (D)

6. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D)

7. Saxby Chambliss (R)

8. Al Franken (D)

9. Kay Hagan (D)

TIE-BREAKER:

10:16PM

Monday, November 3, 2008 04:18 PM

The Pool

1. 5, 2. 296, 3. 29, 4. 6, 5. Murtha, 6. Tinklenberg, 7. Chambliss, 8. Franken, 9. Hagen, 10. 8:01.

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