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The Polls are reporting the number of self-identified Republicans and Democrats. I would be very curious to see a comparison between that number and the number of voters who have Registered as Republican and Democrat for primary purposes. My sense of the situation is that the number of people self-identifying in a manner contrary to their registration is negative for the Republicans (more Republicans don't recall or don't admit that they are registered as Republican, or have not got around to changing their registration (Self-Identified-Rep < Registered-Rep), while for the Democrats it is positive (Self-Identified-Dem > Registered-Dem). If this ration is very high, then the Republicans are in a lot of trouble -- they have repelled even people who were willing to registered Republican.
