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On Sunday the Columbus Dispatch (and presumably other newspapers) put out their first joint poll. It's found at http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/09/21/OHIOPOLL21.ART_ART_09-21-08_A1_HDBCHUM.html?sid=101.
It has McCain ahead. But it came out before the meltdown on Wall Street last week. The polls now out elsewhere in the state after this event are telling a different story. I too look forward to seeing an updated Ohio poll.
I've been knocking on doors for Obama in my center to conservative town near Columbus. The doors are vetted by voter history, so I don't knock on hard core Republicans.
The moderates/independents I'm speaking with are quite positive for Obama. They know this is a vital election and are planning on getting everyone they know out to vote. The Obama campaign is well organized with lots of volunteers. I am hopeful that these numbers and this energy will turn this state blue.
There are scenarios where Obama wins w/o Ohio. But not many scenarios where McCain wins without it. We want to win here, so that the news calls the election on Nov 4th as soon as it becomes clear that Ohio is Obama's.