Pretty much any piece of "information" coming from anywhere in the general neighborhood of Karl Rove should be viewed purely in terms of "what is his strategy in putting out this piece of propaganda" even if it seems to benefit Obama.

How is 272 coasting when 270 are needed to win? How is 272 coasting when it's a decline from a previous projection of 296?

I don't know how or why but somehow this will work to the semi-senile, semi-alive codger.

To think that Karl Rove's maps have any actual informational value -- as opposed to political value -- seems naive.

boring

Stick with the geek: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

but only a moron would think Obama was qualified to be President.

Congratulations Alex.

Its easy to figure out. Watch this:

McCain's 40% = 28% Bushies + 12% of people who think Obama is a Muslim (ie secret terrorist)

That's where it comes from. It will never get lower and may get higher.

Obamas 46-47% = mixture of Democrats, progressives, some early attention indies and a spattering of republicans.

14-16% or so are still not yet paying attention. Many of them are independents. They are yet undecided.

This week was probably the first time they started paying attention. Almost being forced to by the non-stop Obama coverage. (This is why this trip and the imagery was brilliant. Obama is "different" so people need to see him looking like he could be president)

It won;t be really until AFTER the conventions (closer to the first debate) that those 14-16% will start paying close attention.

How do I know? I'm an independent who (heretofore) never really paid much attention until the debates.

Presumably this is meant to send a message to Republicans. I can't see relying on Karl Rove for unbiased advice on elections.

I find it disturbing that McCain still polls close to Obama despite all that has happened in the last eight years, McCain's continuous gaffs on foreign policy, and his flip-flopping on almost every issue.