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Rove is one of the Rught's head trolls, and worrying about him or today's poll numbers is a little like watching the market daily to track your 401(k). The party of the fat cats will not give up its catbird seat without amazing desparation. Don't forget the neocons break the law to get what they want, then hide behind walls of legal obfuscation.
We lull ourselves to sleep dismissing the Righties as stupid. which they're not; they're dishonorable, avaricious and arrogant, and they're good at it. Look at the billions they've lifted from the treasury - they admit it, and will never have to pay anything back.
By October, the debate will have evolved, and the candidate who best brings it at crunch time will win. Right now, the best we can say is that Obama has home court advantage throughout the campaign.