Letters to the Editor
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re: once the republicans start to actually spin this [...]
You need to listen to more Talk Radio. Obama and Rev Wright are getting tons of spin now. But they haven't forgotten about the Clintons either. I even heard Whitewater dredged up. Again. The consensus from most talking heads was that story was used up. My favorite quote: "There is one liberal and two communists in the race". John McCain gets wear the dreaded liberal hairshirt.
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what about clips on youtube
where Wright talks about 9/11 that "the chickens have come home to roost"? It would be very easy to make an ad out of it and start spinning it. We haven't seen it because McCain is waiting till the general election.
I don't believe watergate has any legs by now, I think everyone has formed an opinion on Hillary by now, it's not likely to change much either way.
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It's what is done with the opinion that counts
I think everyone has formed an opinion on Hillary by now, it's not likely to change much either way.
It's about how many turns up for the red team vs the blue team.
Will Hillary fire up the right wing base into a rabid frenzy, making them turn out in huge numbers? Will independents decide to vote against her? Will her own base decide to stay home because they can't support her?
That's the situation. You can substitute Obama for Hillary and ask same type of questions.
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Actually on_second_thought we have seen Republicans make an ad out of Wright
In Lousisana. They ran it against a Democrat running in a Republican district. The Democrat won.
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You have to ask yourself...
Why are Republican insiders rooting for a Clinton victory? Have they suddenly had a change of heart about the Clintons?
Why does Joe Scarborough call Hillary "His new girlfriend"?
Why has Fox News been so "Fair and Balanced" toward Hillary? (Ed Rendell's own words)
Why does the Weekly Standard, the vanguard or the "Right-Wing Conspiracy" publish a pro-Hillary puff piece?
Why is Rush Limbaugh asking Republicans to vote for Hillary in open primaries?
Because they are more afraid of Hillary than Obama? We give Republicans so much credit for being the better campaigners; have they suddenly gotten stupid?
I would think if they really wanted to run against Obama, Limbaugh would want Hillary knocked out of it so they could start the shredding. I'd think Fox News and the Weekly Standard would be writing Hillary Clinton hit pieces. But they're not. And their actions speak louder than their words.
If the Republicans were truly more afraid of Hillary Clinton than Barack Obama, I can guarantee you that Ed Rendell would NOT be complimenting Fox News. Hillary Clinton would NOT be sitting down with Scaif and O'Reilly to a friendly chat.
Republicans are trying to drive a wedge between Democrats and their most loyal constituency (African-Americans). It's something they've wanted to do for years but never had the right wedge. Republicans seem to believe that they have finally found it in Hillary Clinton.
The proof is in the pudding my friends.
Read this article about the white and black voting trends.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/03/opinion/03blow.html
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If Obama can win Ohio
then it's all good. Otherwise he has to win states like Virginia and North Dakota that never went to republicans AND keep New Hampshire and Pennsylvania. Maybe he can do magic and excite people and win states that no democrat won before, but it's hard for me to see this. I can see how Hillary could win, yes, with difficulties, but her road is similar to others who came before her.
An ad using Wright on some random Democrat of course would not be effective. But if he's tied to Obama, it's another story.
I don't know. I guess it's impossible to prove anything until the election comes.
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Did Matthew Broderick throw 8 Hillary votes in the trash?
Seems plausible. Check with Guam's janitors.
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@Linda |C check your numbers
Hillary Clinton is very unlikely to beat Barak Obama's pledged delegate count, even with a seating of Michigan and Florida, since Barak Obama will receive a number of those delegates as well.
If you check out the Slate.com delegate calculator it becomes clear that Senator Clinton needs to win all remaining primaries and caucuses by double digit leads to beat Senator Obama's pledged delegate lead, where as Senator Obama just needs to lose by less than ten points in the remaining contests.
Is it possible Senator Clinton will win all remaining primaries by that double digit lead? Sure, but unless she does so starting tomorrow, this race is at an end.
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one more thing...
I don't think this has been covered, but it's worth mentioning that polls this far out from the general are difficult to trust for the simple reason that right now, all 3 candidates are fighting two opponents. Sen. McCain seems to be content to let the Dems fight it out, and isn't really running against either one of them in particular, though he mentions Obama more by name. Sen. Obama seems to have pivoted somewhat to McCain, running against him as much as he is against Sen. Clinton. Sen. Clinton has concentrated most of her efforts on Sen. Obama, and has only tangentially gone after Sen. McCain (and only after indirectly praising him earlier).
So what we really don't know is how these numbers will move once we've got a true one on one. There exists in any of these hypothetical polls the possibility that some poll respondents will, as a way to make their candidate seem more electable, claim that they'd cross over to the Republican side if they don't get their candidate. It's probably not widespread, and it may happen on both sides, but when you're already extrapolating from a small sample like these polls do, little things like actually knowing which candidates are going to be on the ballot are a helpful thing to getting actual results.
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If Obama can't win Ohio???
Will someone please 'splain to these delusional people that there is no comparison, none, nada, zip, zero -- between the margin of victory in a party primary and a general election?
This is the biggest red herring thrown out in the campaign narrative and it's one of the reasons that convinced me that my switching from Clinton to Obama was the right thing to do.
It's sad to say that someone that I held in such high regard once upon a time, the respected, responsible senator from home state of New York, has sunk to such lows. I'm sure that there is more to it than her ego. I believe that she's carrying a standard that declares women equal and ready to lead. Unfortunately in her zeal to make that a reality she has stooped so low to conquer that I've lost all respect. Not this woman, not this time, but I truly hope some day we'll have a respectable female candidate come in and kick ass.