Letters to the Editor
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What Am I Expecting?
I am Expecting to ask myself the same thing I have been asking myself all season long: how the hell do these idiots on TV get these jobs? How do they keep them?
And, Why do I keep watching them?
Other than that I don't expect much clarity on the nomination situation.
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My Crystal Ball: Joan Walsh's Wed. Apr 23 "Post-Pennsylvania" Victory Post
Need we even wonder whether Joan Walsh will gleefully pounce on Hillary's lead in the Pennsylvania primary, and victoriously crow that this is a sign of Hillary's impending success? Here's a crystal ball look at how tomorrow's blog post from Joan is likely to read, from http://salonparody.blogspot.com ...
Hillary redux: Pennsylvania voters put Hillary back on path to White House
I pointed out last week Obama's dismal failure in the ABC debate, and discussed how Peevish-gate -- his peeved attitude toward the personal questions lobbed at him -- and FlagPinGate -- his refusal to wear a flag pin as evidence of his lack of patriotrism, would be the end of him. And most would agree, I was right.
Even though most would agree her win was by a much smaller margin than predicted, most would agree this still bodes extremely well for her campaign, and most would agree this is the evidence we pundits need to declare the campaign over.
Of course, most would agree that Obama's abysmal campaign strategy, his inability to connect with people, his elitism, poor oratorical skills, inferior gender, and of course, his ability to consistently play the race card, are factors in his defeat.
(And of course, most would agree that the all-encompassing importance of the Jeremiah Wright scandal, compounded by Hillary's brilliant "3 a.m." and "Kitchen" television ads, cannot be overestimated.)
But here we are -- and most would agree Hillary is on a roll. Most would agree that Hillary is ready on day one, she's thrown the kitchen sink at Obama, and naturally he's drowning. Most would agree she's making the comeback of all comebacks -- and most would agree, she's on her way to the White House.
Some critics might say that Hillary's campaign is $10 million bucks in debt, and that it's a problem. But most would agree that it's actually a good sign. She's spending a lot of money because she's running a hard, strong race!
Some critics might say that she doesn't have enough delegates, and she doesn't have the majority of the popular vote. But most would agree that this is actually just a small detail that will be ironed out as things move forward.
And, as I mentioned in my latest appearance on MSNBC with Chris Matthews, (I DID mention that I'm a tv pundit, right? I talk about politics, and people watch me -- on TV!!) most would agree that people are not taking into account the mass Superdelegate defection away from Obama and in favor of Clinton.
Most would agree that superdelegates are already flocking in droves to Clinton, and most would agree that practically all committed delegates are also reporting that they too will defect, in favor of Senator Clinton.
What did we learn from Pennsylvania? Most would agree that we learned that Obama can't land the knockout. He of course couldn't win Texas in the last go-around either. (Seriously, you overzealous Obama supporters need to calm down about the caucus nonsense, because most would agree that caucuses don't really count.)...
Just wait...you'll see what I mean when Joan posts tomorrow!
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Benen asks, What are you expecting tonight?
1) a winner
2) a loser
3) a spin cycle
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@ALG2008
Brilliant!
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Expecting
I expect to go to bed tonight after another rousing and inspirational speech from Barack Obama and another vow to fight on from Hillary Clinton. I am also planning to skip all the spinning from both camps about the margin of victory. I think that the analysts have it about right: anything less than a 10 point spread for Clinton will not be viewed as much of a victory because she will only net a handful of delegates and continue to lag in that all-important count.
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I am sorry, but that is BS
She was up huge a few weeks back. I have had that CNN bus parked 2 blocks from my house and Rendell and Nutter constantly on my TV. A 15% win was predicted, and that was face-saving since she was up by over 20% a few weeks before.
TO say that nothing has changed is Fox News-ish.
What is the motivation, if any, behind that misstatement?
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Funny, I thought the Post was full of shit
Which is probably why Salon liked it.
A ten point or lower victory for Clinton is the margin? On what planet? She needs like a 20 point victory in PA, at least -- and then outrageous victories in the rest in order to come close to matching Obama with pledged delegates and popular vote.
It's mighty funny (and fishy) that as Obama has erased Clinton's lead in PA, her need to win that state by 20 points is no longer mentioned by the MSM and Salon -- now any win is a victory for Clinton and reason to consider this contest close.
Google the delegate calculators, folks. Be generous to Clinton. She just can't make it -- even with a 20-point win in PA.
Of course this assumes the s-delegates don't overrule the voters, but why would they? Seems like the dumbest move possible on their part. Clinton has way more baggage and much higher negatives -- not exactly the "sure thing" to pick at the risk of pissing off a few million new, young, Democratic voters.
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Oh, I don't know.
I was kinda going to let them vote and read about the results in a couple days whey they've quit milking the spotlight.
It doesn't really going to matter what the outcome is. If Clinton loses big, she will still be around being the poor victim who really should be the candidate. So she'll stay in the race just for us. If She wins even a little (which is expected) she will hang around being victimized by wretches who won't do the right thing and give her the candidacy that she so truly deserves. No matter what the outcome, Obama will hang around and continue to become more amorphous and develop more unlikable traits.
This being Pennsylvania and all, it would be interesting if they would use some of their agrarian traditions to take the loser out behind the barn and shoot it. In case of a closely contested race, they could pop both of them! Then we might get a decent candidate. Nah, never happen.