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The movement is stronger than ever. It owns the Republican Party in that, while it may not dictate the nominee, it can veto any choice with which it disagrees. And, as James Dobson proved in the Terri Schiavo case, it can even get George W. Bush to come home early from vacation (!).
The movement is just waiting for the Fall election and a President McCain to make its wishes known. And, knowing that he cannot win without their help, Senator McCain will promise them ANYTHING to get into office.
The fact that our central media talks about the demise of this movment just further demonstrates they have an even shorter memory span than a goldfish (three seconds, as I recall).