Letters to the Editor
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Clinton's Net is Negative
Reporting the the raw number of superdelegates gained by each candidate since February 5 is misleading when some of Obama's superdelegate commitments came from defecting Clinton supporters.
What's the net gain or loss, Alex?
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Another factor
Another factor might have been the poll that showed Obama with a 10-point lead over HRC nationally and the one that indicated Obama still slightly ahead of McCain with HRC slightly behind. Although I think these polls are meaningless as predictors of the final outcome, they probably have some influence on the present-moment thinking of superdelegates as far as "electability".
Hillary's "I'm the only one who is electable" argument is losing steam the longer the campaign goes on -- and Rush Limbaugh's activities have cast some doubt among Democrats on the actual meaning of even the votes she is getting.
A friend of mine from a primary state that voted on Super Tuesday, who is a Republican, told me that a lot of his friends voted for Hillary just because the Republicans are all salivating to run against her and "really put the final smackdown on the hated Clintons."
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"Hillary's "I'm the only one who is electable" argument is losing steam "
Losing steam until November.
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"Losing steam until November"
Nov 1-3 isn't a lot of time to make up lost ground.
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My Bad
I keep forgetting......When he loses it's Hillary's fault.
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NC superdelegates going to Obama BEFORE the vote?
What the fuck is that?
Hillary is a shit candidate but we've waited this long to vote in the primary, why should they jump the gun and endorse anyone at this time?.
Hillary was her college Republican party president and she attends fundraisers thrown for her by Rupert Murdoch. Maybe NC will vote for her after all in the primary. NC is a red state after all.
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maybe about the $$$
how can she continue, meaningfully, to June without a huge infusion of cash? at least we know why she has not dumped Penn, as the campaign owes him really big bucks.. plus other debts totalling over 8 million dollars?http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/9259.html
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The bleed-out
I called it a while back *strains arm patting self on back* ...
the primaries will happen but this is what Reid was alluding to. I think the dynamic becomes this. The Bam endorsements put a narritve in play that the SDs are breaking his way, true or not. This puts pressure on the Hill-leaning SDs to step up and be countered to counter it.
Which puts another more factual narrative in play: that the SDs are stepping up. Assuming that that the CW that these SDs need to break 2-1 for Hill (I forget, check me on it), if that doesn't happen she's done no matter what happens in the primaries.
If they break even or break more for Bam, obv. she's done.
Anyone know what the per-week rate has been for SD endorsements over the last month?
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"like a good movie that's gone on a half hour too long"
Obama's analogy was a good one, in more ways than one. Hillary Clinton's continued existence in the this campaign is by the good graces of the media. Its been a goldmine for them. They've been able to fill endless hours, pages, blogs with a sideshow when people's attention haven't focused on the end run. In the dead of winter a general election in November seems an eternity away. Once Spring kicks in it will suddenly seem closer. Something will happen that will focus the attention on the real contest and McCain and Obama will set each other squarely in their sights. There will be no room left for Clinton. My guess is Iraq will be that"something." The surge that's working has suddenly turned into the house of cards that falling. Iraq has been somewhat engineered out of the headlines. That's changing now. Voters will be keenly intersted in seeing how the two candidates they'll choose from in November will respond. Hillary Clinton isn't in that mix.
What has the Clinton campaign offered lately except an extended tantrum of "I want to be President! I want to be President!" Her econimc speech fell pretty flat. Many dismissed it as typical election year promised giveaways. Her Iraq address turned out to be Saint Patrick's Day Bosnian blarney. A candidate can survive a controversy (McCaine navigated the blonde lobbiest, Obama Rev. Wright). Bosnia turned Clinton into a joke. That can't be overcome. She's cried, she's lied, she's ridiculed, she's all but endorsed the Republican, she's thrown mud. She's been entertaining. "like a good movie that's gone on a half hour too long" Eventually it gets boring, and its getting boring. Once the focus begins to shift to the general election (and I think that will happen shortly)she'll be reduced to, "In other news, more bizarre campaign behavior from the Clintons."
She can stay in till June, she can stay in to the convention if she wants. But sooner, rather than later people will tune her out and she simply won't matter. She's really not relevant.
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clinton's unpaid bills
There was a recent discussion on Clinton's unpaid bills to her insurance companies. According to a Clinton spokesperson the failure to pay the bill didn't compromise employee healthcare insurance. I don't know about others but my experience is that if you fall behind on paying your insurance premium the insurance companies send advise you that you risk losing the insurance unless you pay up immediately. Is it possible that they didn't do that in the case of the Clinton campaign because of their connection to the Clinton campaign and it was the equivalent of a backhand contribution. Is it not fair to ask what this means for a candidate who has made healthcare the cornerstone of her campaign?
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Because they've decided somebody has to go away, and they've decided it should be her.
"...we've waited this long to vote in the primary, why should they jump the gun and endorse anyone at this time?."
Because as usual, when there's a problem in the family it's Mom who's supposed to put her dreams on ice and quietly do what's best for everybody without complaining.
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Come on supers do your biit
It's time to raise this race up from its state of stagnant shit.
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lol @ Sartrewasright
Gender card played! UNO!
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@saintzak
"A candidate can survive a controversy (McCaine navigated the blonde lobbiest, Obama Rev. Wright). Bosnia turned Clinton into a joke. That can't be overcome."
Right. That's a pretty funny "analysis". Clinton has survived controversies way worse than the Bosnian story. The notion that she won't survive it is absurd.