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Exactly right, RMP
What's the spread? Mass has been a Clinton stronghold for ages (Hillary and Bill are "honorary residents" of Martha's Vineyard -- she drew a very large crowd there when I happened to be visiting in September, and that was long before Barack Obama was even on my RADAR). If Obama stays within a few points of Clinton, he'll have done very well. If the spread is more than 5 percentage points, I'll be a bit concerned.
Bear in mind as well, however, that Boston is a very segregated city, and that there may be a bit of a backlash-by-association going on with respect to Gov. Deval Patrick, who's gotten off to a somewhat rocky start here.