Letters to the Editor
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A: Obama
Spin for Hillary any harder and you'll strike oil, Joan. It's possible she can beat the old man, but why risk it? Independents hate her; we all know it; most of us admit it. And white Democratic guys are even voting for a black man over her. The stars are aligned for the good guys, so I'm pretty sure we'll screw it up and go over the cliff with Ms. Warmth.
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Transcripts?
...Please?
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Last year's war
Anybody who's obsessing over whether HRC will "galvanize" the opposition is fighting last year's war. In the time since she's become a Senator, she may have quite a few votes under her belt that I personally wish had gone the other way -- but on the other hand, she's done everything right in terms of reaching out to moderates and rational conservatives. I just don't think it's safe to kick back and assume that the Republicans will all oppose her. Eight years ago, maybe, but not today. As far as the war vote, McCain could just as easily attack Obama for being a Monday-morning quarterback; it's easy to say how you WOULD have bet after the Giants won the Superbowl. As for me, I'm sick to death of people who think they're electing a Messiah instead of an Administrator. Every time that's happened, it's been disaster. JFK gets a free pass because of the fabled story line -- glamorous wife, tragic death, blah blah -- how would his administration hold up under current mores? Would he get a free pass for Bay of Pigs, and have the entire press corps overlook the fact that he shared an extramarital mistress with a Mafia boss? Ronald Reagan was the Messiah of the Republican party, and nobody bothered to notice the details of what was happening on his watch. Even now, people glaze over when you point out that Reagan ceased all enforcement of antitrust laws, which explains why we pay exponentially more for internet service than the average Frenchman. Gore was a boring "policy wonk" while Bush was the guy you wanted to have a beer with. How well did that one turn out? Let's get over the "rock star" treatment and start examining which candidate is smarter and better. As long as the Democratic rank and file manage to unite, McCain is beatable solely on the strength of his desire to keep US troops in Iraq for the next hundred years, coupled with his disclaimer of any understanding of how to fix the economy.
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Three choices...
1. The extraordinarily unpopular former First Lady
2. The brittle old POW with the bad temper
3. The inexperienced half-black junior Senator
They're interchangeable. "Tough on terror," whatever that's defined as this week, only too happy to support Israel ("Say, friend, why do you have that parasitic organism attached to your throat?") and just plain not trustworthy.
Where's the None Of The Above option?
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Hey Obama Person
Women trump you all any day.......Did you know that Hillary was one of Obama's biggest fundraisers when he ran for the Senate....no the golden boy didn't share that did he?
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Let's check the polls.
Recent poll data might be instructive on this question.
http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/2008/02/08/obama_electability/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/08/20008.matchups.schneider/index.html
The upshot? "In all six of the most recent general election head-to-head match-ups, Obama does better than Hillary Clinton against McCain by an average of more than five points. In four out of the six, Clinton loses to McCain."
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Extra! Extra! Obama beats Clinton in New Poll... Please
After so many polls demonstrating the Obama "surge" had overtaken the "teetering" Clinton "machine" had proven wrong, you'd think these G.O.P./Wall Street marketing gurus would give it a rest. But no. Like rust, the propagandists never sleep. Today CNN was spreading it thick again, with Bill Schneider describing 2 polls that showed Obama could handily beat McCain, but Clinton barely tied him. This three days after Super Tuesday, when votes for Democrats outnumbered votes for Republicans two to one, and Clinton picking up 100 more delegates than Obama, beating him in all the big states. When are people going to realize that if not for Karl Rove, Rupert Murdoch, and General Electric (which owns NBC/MSNBC), Obama would still be a little unknown first-term senator from Illinois whose best friends are indicted slumlords and shakedown artists. For more on the facts, check out the article I've posted at thecityedition.com, which links to other sources.
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Which Democrat can beat McCain?
Without having electoral votes of CA, TX, FL, NY right in front of me but just "back of envelope" scenario planning: Clinton takes NY and CA and McCain takes TX and FL (the latter w/ mixed odds in this otherwise reasonable scenario) then as often is the case in presidential elections, OH plays the pivotal role. Who wins OH? Well, the economy is really bad so this probably would play to Clinton's advantage (assuming folks don't put together that Bill Clinton's NAFTA policy very bad for manufacturing throughout rustbelt Midwest) however, many Independents and Republicans in this state would be motivated to vote against her. Further - and this point most of coastal driven media doesn't get - Dayton, Toledo, Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, and Akron/Canton each have sizable black populations which MAY not be very motivated to support Clinton especially since this means, by definition, that Obama did not win the Democratic nomination. Remember, in 2004 Bush increased his percentage of black vote from 9% in 2000 to 16% four years later; just enough for him to hold off Kerry. Clinton would have to do some serious work on mending her standing in black community which would not endear her any further with Independents and Republicans. Following this scenario, would seem to me that Clinton would be ice skating uphill in OH whereas Obama would not only have black vote locked down but would compete vigorously with McCain for Independents, perhaps even pick up some Republican votes. If Obama wins OH on March 4 primary, adding his victory in MO (not as many electoral votes but very similar to OH), then I posit that this is the best indicator as to who can beat McCain.