Letters to the Editor
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Can you smell the Joementum?
I can. It smells like yesterday’s candidate.
Fact: HRC polls very low among undecideds, and when the key undecided vote makes up their minds in the last 24 hours, they are unlikely to go wth HRC if they haven’t already.
Fact: The runoff from candidates with less than 15% of the vote can be key in the Iowa caucus process. I believe that Edwards and Obama are more likely to benefit from the Dodd, Richardson, (possibly) Biden and Kucinich runoff than HRC.
Fact: A room full of white haired women are a weak base of support, particularly since women--especially women of an older age--tend to vote with their husbands.
Prediction: HRC will finish 3rd in Iowa.
When a candidate whose primary (perhaps only) message has been that she is electable can’t win a primary, her base will dry up and blow away. Expect a call from Sidney Blumenthal in about 30 days. He’s going to want his desk back.