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I think we can all agree that Obama is well aware of the 2007 NEI. We can all agree that he knows what he said on ABC flies in the face of that study. So why did he say what he did?
The only possible reason I can come up with is that as a black Democrat Pres-Elect, he has decided not to rock the boat and get the Village all pissed off at him before he even takes office.
If he is smart, he will ask for a new NEI on Iran once his new heads of intelligence are in place. If the new NEI agrees with the 2007 study he can then use that to justify employing a more diplomatic approach to Iran. It would be very hard for the village to screech about the scary Iranians with two consecutive NEIs - one under the Bush Admin - agreeing that Iran is not pursuing nuclear weapons.
It's also possible Iran IS pursuing nuclear weapons, in which case we do want to know it and act accordingly (i.e., diplomatically). The truth should always trump politics.
