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Monday, January 12, 2009 12:00 AM

Obama v. the National Intelligence Estimate on Iran

Last year, the NIE famously concluded with "high confidence" that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003. Why did Obama say yesterday that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons?

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  • Monday, January 12, 2009 09:38 AM

    There is some conflation involved that makes Iran a threat

    Glenn said,

    "So what's the justification for Obama's inflammatory and seemingly baseless claim on national television that Iran is "pursuing a nuclear weapon that could potentially trigger a nuclear arms race" when the consensus of American intelligence agencies is that they are not doing so?"

    There are a number of arguments that claim that since the ability to produce the materials needed for nuclear power production is the same ability that allows one to make nuclear weapons, once Iran has the ability to have nuclear power, it has a bomb. The Iranians have said and the UN has verified that they are developing the infrastructure to make nuclear power materials. Obama is adopting this argument and it is that argument that is justifying his belligerance.

    The fact that the non-proliferation treaty grants countries the right to nuclear power and the ability to make its own nuclear power materials, in exchange for agreeing to not make nuclear weapons, is studiously obsfucated.

    Obama cannot be too clear about his argument to strangle and /or attack Iran without revealing his underlying attempt to break the NPT.

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