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Money talks. $300 Million speaks loudly, all directed, in secret, at Iran. That is a big honey pot, and Obama would be putting it in jeopardy if he were to base his opinion on the findings of the NIE, and not on the people that directly benefit from this secret honey pot.
And sure, Israel appears to be getting a piece of the intel pie (i.e. BushCo sharing it) but IMO neither Bush nor Obama appear to be as heavily influenced/pressured by Israel in this case, they appear to be more influenced by the shadow government that largely consists of the Intelligence/Military/Arms community.
Israel wants to bomb Iran, and Bush said no. Why? If Bush is 100% controlled by AIPAC, then why not do whatever they dictate? Why go against the wishes of Israel if it supposedly owns Bush lock, stock, and barrel? Could it be that $300 Million is a lot of money, and that there are other "covert", i.e. secret, interests involved? Such as our Intelligence Community that thrives in secrets and shadows?