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• Saturday, October 4, 2008 07:12 PM

  Paul Rosenberg: What a Landslide in the Making Looks Like

  Periodic and long time UT commenter Paul Rosenberg shows on OpenLeft (see sig) through graphs how little chance McPathetic has to win. He has chosen the tactic of going very negative. That will only make the landslide larger.

  This is one view of what a coalescing landslide election looks like. It's from the Princeton Election Consortium, and it's a distribution map of all possible election outcomes in the Electoral College. On the left is the distribution based on polling through September 30. There is just the tiniest tail of the distribution across the red line where McCain wins. The highest peak of blue lines is close to 7% for one specific distribution giving Obama a victory with over 320 votes. On the right is the distribution based on polling just two days later, on October 2. There is no longer any part of the distribution across the red line, giving McCain a victory. What's more, the highest peak of blue lines now reaches 14% and it is for more than 350 electoral votes. Of course these are just two snapshots in time. But they do show how dramatically the race has moved in the direction of an Obama landslide, just as early voting is about to begin.

  http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=8840

  —Retired Military Patriot Read Retired Military Patriot's other letters
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