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I agree with all of this. But it's also necessary to keep in mind how profound the risk is. Because if (assuming Obama is the nominee) he's wrong in these assumptions, then you're looking at President John McCain for the next four years -- with all of the disasters that brings with it.
If that happens, then we deserve it. If the majority of the American Electorate gives in to the Drudgian Discourse in politics when someone tries to actually go beyond it, then it's a failure of our republic and our citizenry.
If this becomes the Swift-Boating of this election cycle, then it proves that we have learned nothing from these last few years except the fear we've been fed.
