my wife is a pharmaceutical scientist...take the amox 'til empty, doesn't go bad in a few days.

i love the concern for you and the realization that your posts contribute mightily to the overall tone of these threads.

be well.

Hey, is that you?

I agree with you to some extent, about the intended use of polls. I don't believe that polls are used that way, however. They ARE considered accurate predictors of outcomes and handled as if they are objective reality; they influence policy, they create and destroy candidacies.

True, but I think that for the wonks, more than raw poll stats are involved in the forecasting and policy making. Focus Groups, etc.

I posted these on the other thread:

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2008/01/justin_wolfers.html

http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2007/12/are_political_m.html

Number crunchers at Columbia University

Who said that and when? Me, on the first page of comments on this thread at 3:42PM today - and I was saying it for weeks admist all this Obama nonesense. I never had a doubt in my mind while our useless media was chattering away about Obama's "Surge."

Once you accept that our political process is far more corrupt than you think- to the point that elections are just rigged and these things almost script written (and they are) then it isn't hard to figure out what is going to happen. Who is going to win between Hillary and Obama? Whose Beltway apparatchik credentials are the best? Obviously Hillary's. That is all you need to know.

What will happen next? Well- our idiot pundit class will blather away about McCain's inevitability and be taken by surprise by Huckabee winning Super Tuesday- like the script calls for.

It is all a fraud.

A classic joke in econometrics.

A wife comes home late and finds her husband on his hands and knees searching under a lamp post.

"What are you doing?", she asks.

"Searching for my house keys."

"Have you found them?"

"No." he grumbles.

"Where did you drop them?"

"Over there," he says pointing to the steps to their front door.

"Then, why are you searching way over here?"

"Because, this is where the light is."

I trust no interpretation is necessary.

1st: 57,982 Hillary Clinton
2nd: 54,431 Barack Obama
3rd: 44,472 John McCain
4th: 38,014 Mitt Romney
5th: 24,788 John Edwards
6th: 13,549 Mike Huckabee
7th: 10,428 Rudy Giuliani
8th: 9,442 Ron Paul
9th: 6,951 Bill Richardson
10th: 2,149 Dennis Kucinich
11th: 1,418 Fred Thompson

...no matter which candidate you prefer, and no matter which party... is that the M$M is having to wipe a lot of egg from their faces, and recognize that the only things that really count are THE VOTE TOTALS, which cannot be counted until real people actually vote.

Perhaps they will finally have to quit writing their stories in advance... and during this election cycle, too.

my wife is a pharmaceutical scientist...take the amox 'til empty, doesn't go bad in a few days.

You should always take all the antibiotics the doctor prescribes until they are gone. Even if you ar5e feeling better, finish the entire bottle, Bur we think it is left over Amox because he didn't take it all when he should have. At this point he needs trash it and go see the doc and get more if he is having a recurrence of syptoms. He needs to see the doc if he has a return of syptoms. And he needs to finish all the pills the doc prescribes this time. No matter how good he feels half way through the bottle. And antibiotics should be taken like it was religion. Follow The Directions To The Letter!

Thanks for sharing that letter, Glenn. Bebop is truly one of a kind, and this thread would not be the same without him. Not the same at all.

And antibiotics should be taken like it was religion. Follow The Directions To The Letter!

-- L.W.M.

That's what I've always been told and believed to be correct.

I think "Monsieur Bebop" has quite the ring to it.

http://youtube.com?v=9p9uBLqz958

President - Dem Primary

New Hampshire - 189 of 301 Precincts Reporting - 63%

Name Party Votes Vote %

Clinton , Hillary Dem 64,743 39%

Obama , Barack Dem 60,322 36%

Edwards , John Dem 27,578 17%

B, just wanted to pop in (better late than never) to reinforce LWM's statements on antibiotics. You know what I do for a living and how long I've done it, and LWM is giving you the word on it. Please heed.

We would hate for you to get sick on us. We need you here.

I also 2nd (3rd, 4th or whatever) Glenn's letter-writer. You are a treasure. And we have just enough pirate in us to want to keep you.

i guess i missed the part about old drugs, i took it as an interrupted scrip. yes, you are absolutely right (and i'm gonna get killed for giving mis info to my BW) to toss the old drugs.

and see the doc.

You really know how to call up my darkest fears and make me feel extraordinarily depressed.:)I think I will go off and read a good book and not check the primary returns until the morning.

A very nice photo of Kabuki on your website (I clicked on your name).

Somerby:

http://dailyhowler.com/dh010408.shtml

FRIDAY, JANUARY 4, 2008

None of this has a thing to do with who you think would make the best Dem candidate, or who you think would make the best president. (If we had been in Iowa yesterday, we would most likely have voted for Edwards, although we see downsides to all the candidates and will happily support whoever wins.) This has nothing to do with who you prefer. This has to do with being an American citizen—with refusing to accept the inanity these fools have pumped into our culture over the past fifteen years.

It’s really time that Dems (and liberals; and progressives; and centrists; and independents; and sane Republicans, of whom there are many) decide that we refuse to accept this nonsense any longer.

[...] In October 1999, 300 reporters “howled,” jeered” and “laughed at” Candidate Gore for the full hour during the first Gore-Bradley debate. (They watched the debate in a separate press room.) But very few voters have ever heard about that, because—for reasons only psychiatrists could hope to explain—liberals and Democrats, nicely house-trained, have agreed not to discuss it.

Let me tell you something simple about that remarkable event.

If the fraternal order we describe as a “press corps” had ever done that to a major Republican, the public would have heard about it endlessly—just as they should have. It would still be cited on cable, each night. It would be the subject of endless books; Rush would talk about it daily.

It would be engraved in each citizen’s mind.

And oh yes: In insisting that citizens know what happened, conservatives would have done the right thing!

The press corps’ conduct that night was stunning—and voters deserve to know about it. But uh-oh! House-broken, muted and toilet-trained, we have agreed not to tell them. (As Grover Norquist accurately said, certain animals are more comfortable once they’ve been “fixed.”)

Our side has been paper-trained for so long that it simply never crosses our mind to serve the public in this way.

[...] Even when it was done to Candidate Gore (for two years!), we agreed that we wouldn’t complain about it. Even when we saw that this conduct had changed the world’s history, we largely agreed not to go back and discuss the things they had done.

[...] As good citizens, we have to decide: We will not allow this inanity to be aimed at our hopefuls again. Even if we like Hopeful X a bit more, we will scream when they go after Candidate Y. We’ll help the public understand the truth about the Dowds and the Matthews. And: If they jeer our candidate for an hour, we won’t cower, quake and quiver, pretending that we haven’t heard.

- - Bob Somerby, the Daily Howler