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Ever since Casey & Baker made their deal with Iran in 1980, their mullahs & ours have growled at each other. They ramp it up when its convenient, cool it down when it suits them & generally have had a long and productive relationship based on common goals & shared ideals.
My unwillingness to accept the likelihood of an attack on Iran is simply based on the expectation that they - the theocrats in both countries - will continue the relationship on its old terms, and have no real beef. Sure there's a history of phony wars blowing up into real ones, and to some extent we do become what we pretend to be, but for now the utter absurdity & pointlessness of initiating a fresh disaster against a large & powerful country inclines me to place my worries elsewhere.
Also, with regard to Cheney, you have to consider what the oil industry wants. The oil industry is very happy with things as they are.
