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Gen. John Sheehan has described why the surge ultimately won’t work and why any benefits of it will be temporary at best – it’s because the surge is a short-term operation which we cannot continue indefinitely, and it’s not tied to any long term effort, because that would require a serious dialogue with Syria and Iran which the neo-cons have already ruled out as what “girly men” do.
That’s why he turned down the job. There’s no possibility of ultimate success as long as the neo-cons are limiting what needs to be done to assure that - a serious dialogue with other countries in the region.
Additionally, as Krugman pointed out, all Republican candidates are trapped into this position because their base is “living in the past” with these views which are no more than macho posturing and platitudes. The public has already moved on, and it’s only the serious Beltway pundits and the base of the Republican Party who don’t yet realize that.