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To extend Holy Moses' list, and second Bullsmith's observation, the reason Kurtz can be so easily predicted is that he's been mailing it in for years. (With apologies to the troll who posts that comment every Monday about the Tom Tomorrow cartoon.)
BTW, I must confess that I briefly thought that Cheney's death at the hands of a suicide bomber would be poetic justice, as well as a lucky break for the nation. But then, being a liberal, I was immediately ashamed of myself.