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Obama's connection with his dubious pastor will doubtlessly sink his candidacy with whites. Clinton can be counted on the sink her own candidacy simply by being Hillary. McCain will win. He must begin to move away from Bush on the war issue and his closeness to Petreus who is already signaling his dismay at out non-policy policy in Iraq will push McCain to move in a new direction. As unlikely as this seemed months ago McCain may well be our next president -- baring a real economic crisis. McCain will have to label Bush as Hoover before the Democrats succeed in droping the Hoover mantle on him.