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Thursday, December 7, 2006 12:00 AM

Will Bush listen to reason?

Victory in Iraq is out of reach. But at least the recommendations of the bipartisan Baker Commission could help the U.S. find an exit strategy.

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Thursday, December 7, 2006 08:43 PM

NO HE WON'T

He is way too over his head

Thursday, December 7, 2006 09:54 PM

I Don't Understand the Fascination with Iran

I do not understand the fascination with Iran. The Baker Commission is handing Iran a diplomatic coup and a perception of influence over Iraq that extends way beyond their ability to deliver on any material aspect of a final settlement. By comparison, Baker says that "we talked to the Soviet Union for 50 years" and that saved the planet so why can't we have substantive dialogue with Iraq? We also had diplomatic relations with the USSR since 1933, both countries fought against Nazi Germany and agreed or disagreed on how to divide up Europe following the war. Also, having a Russian embassy in town probably saved the planet during the height of the Cuban missle crisis. We recently convinced China to put pressure on North Korea on their nuke program. Somebody needs to help me understand how Iran is going to influence events in Iraq in a manner analogous to the USSR and China. I don't think it is going to happen and I think the Baker Commission has made a strategic error in elevating Iran to "world power" status in the space of two weeks.

In fact, the US has to be careful not to be seen giving implicit approval to Iran to acquire nuclear weapons as quid pro quo. I don't know if this was raised as a possibility by the Baker Commission Report but it has been raised elsewhere (see Ephron:Newsweek).

Friday, December 8, 2006 08:59 AM

The President's Perfect Storm

I'm afraid that "listening to reason" is not within the purview of George W. Bush. He has been struck down by a Perfect Storm which includes 1. Neoconservativism. 2. Christian fundamentalism. 3. Alcoholism.

President Bush adopts the world view of the neoconservatives. He believes that because the US is the world's only superpower that it can act without restraint. If it's considered to be "the national interest" even preemptive war is justified. The United States now has lone responsibility to make the world safer, free of autocratic governments and more prosperous through global trade. Since our experience tells us that "democracy" has allowed our country to flourish, it is our God given duty to seed the world with democratic governments even if it has to be done at the point of a gun. Finally, because we have been so blessed to find ourselves on top of the world, we must do everything possible to guard our position and not let anyone ever challenged us. That means having command and control of the world's most strategic area, the oil-rich Middle East.

Faith can bring great comfort. But when "faith" becomes absolute certainty, especially in a man who has to deal with the most complex issues, it can bring disaster. To see America as chosen by God to fulfill His "plan" to convert every country to democracy comes naturally to a man who is "born again" into an extremely literal and authoritarian form of religion. God cannot be wrong. George Bush follows God's plan. Therefore, George Bush cannot be wrong. If given the choice, who is he going to believe God or the Iraq Study Group? Furthermore, spreading democracy fits perfectly with the evangelical mindset.

Finally, George W. Bush is an alcoholic. True, he no longer drinks but that only makes him a "dry drunk." He stopped drinking, he got religion but he never got treatment by going to Alcoholics Anonymous and completing the 12- Steps or by entering into psychotherapy. The behavior of drinking has ceased but he still holds the same thinking patterns as an alcoholic including denial, projecting blame on others, black-and-white thinking and hyper-religiosity. This aspect of the president's personality is critical but seldom considered in the way that a family might never acknowledge that one of its members has the life-threatening disease of alcoholism.

To be free of any one of those positions might allow George W. Bush to look beyond the other two and to listen to reason. But when those three forces come together, as in nature, there can be much destruction and sorrow.

Sunday, December 10, 2006 06:13 PM

Bush? Listen to reason?

Well sure, Bush will listen to reason. When Pigs Fly, he will...

Hey, you can't fix "stupid"...

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