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Couldn't agree more with your assessment of Palin. Who knows what she really thinks of Israel. Darn shootin likely she does not know any real Jews and would not fit in well in the Israel of the real world - compared to her biblical imagination.
I sometimes wonder what our support for Israel would look like if we cleaned out the neocon Christian fantasist hacks and let reasonable people make decisions about foreign policy. It might be more pro-palestinian - people going back to George Marshall said it was crazy to support the Jews in Palestine, and only the most cloying Christian sentiment could account for our desire to stiff the oil rich Arab nations at its expense. Marshall was probably right, if you think about it. Support for *democracy* in Israel has not gotten us much either, unless you count 9/11 as a benefit.
That is why I think Barack offers us - and Israel - something better than the mindless pro-Israeli policies of the past. You can't come of age in the south side of Chicago (where Jews still own a lot of businesses) and not have some feeling for the Palestinians. Barack could bring balance, and I think hopefully justice for all concerned. All you would get from McCain/Palin is mindless bombing of Israel's enemies and mindless support for the fence, or whatever else Israel decides to do to keep the Palestinians at bay. When the dust settles from those types of aggressive policies, what do you really have? Seems to me, not much.