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Little evidence, indeed. Where is yours WRT Inds, Unds, & SV'S? Speaking for myself (IND), the past 8 years inform my vote more than any Dem candidate's policy positions, and I want my Constitution back.
Please don't speak for me.
Dems obviously need INDs like me & the others on their side - and the current administration is enjoying the lowest approval ratings in history. So unless you have solid numbers to back up your claim that these voters won't lean Dem, or that SCOTUS nominations aren't important to us, you might want to reconsider whether the past 10 elections have any bearing on the present.
10 elections aren't evidence? By the way, When Bill Clinton was elected in 1992, his slogan wasn't "It's the Supreme Court, stupid". Which dovetails nicely with current polling, where voters say their number one issue is the economy.
By the way, I never claimed to speak for you, any more than I claimed that every person of a particular demographic votes with unanimity. And it's a tad disingenuous for you to say things like "Please don't speak for me" and then switch to first person plural.
But, by all means, extrapolate from your personal experience. From now until November, Obama only put out add about how his Supreme Court nominations would be better than McCain's.