The real question is whether the working class voters who vote for Hillary are truly going to vote for McCain in November. My guess is a few will but most won't. The country and the economy are in sad shape and the the working class knows this better than anyone. McCain has nothing to offer them but brag and bluster. I don't think it will work. Not this time.

He's a small little helpless shrimp afloat in an ever cycling cesspool of insanity, crafted out of his own fevered frustrations.

Shawn, you'll always have a faithful little shit to stand by your side with cythera.

Keep that little turd around.

Obama has two problems. First, how does he win the nomination? Secondly, how does he win the presidency?

Obama doesn’t need to worry about winning the nomination. It’s already in the bag. There isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell that he won’t be awarded the nomination within a month or so. The super delegates cannot deny him what has come to be expected by his supporters, the party establishment, and the media. Even contemplating circumstances under which Clinton would receive the nod are virtually impossible. It would be committing political suicide. It doesn’t matter at this late date if Hillary appears to be stronger than Obama.

Indeed, even if polling showed that Hillary alone could defeat John McCain in the general election the party cannot withdraw what has been promised over the airwaves by politicians and pundits alike. When is Joan Walsh going to understand this? Even if certain defeat becomes clear, the expectations will certainly be that the party must do the right thing. There is no way that the Democratic Party can deny the nomination to Obama and not initiate all out war in the party.

The second problem is insurmountable. Obama is not going to win the general election. He will not win the election because he, or perhaps more accurately his partisans, have made a win impossible. He won’t win older people. He won’t win the white working class. He won’t win the union vote. He won’t win the Latino vote. These now ordinarily Democratic voting constituencies are likely to revert back to their previous Republican affiliations from the 1980s. Who knows how much of Hillary's vote will refuse to vote for Obama? 30%? 40%? It doesn't matter. He won't get enough votes to win against John McCain, and no amount of whistling in the dark will change things. The party will give Obama what he wants thus falling on its own sword. After this election no one will ever be able to doubt our commitment to "doing the right thing."

I have voted in every election since 1976. If Obama wins the nomination I'll be doing what I have criticized others for threatening: I won't be voting for the Democratic candidate. I'm fed up with the whole situation. I'm sick of our ridiculous primary delegate apportionment system, which has repeatedly awarded the candidate who received fewer votes statewide to win more delegates. I'm tired of the party's over-reliance on caucuses that bring in a fraction of the voters that primary elections bring in. I'm tired of the politics that is going to keep two large states, Michigan and Florida, from being seated (as of the moment) as well as denying them a right to make a difference in who our candidate will be.

I'm mostly tired of the incredible ugliness of the campaign. I'm tired of young punks constantly describing Hillary Clinton as a cunt, a whore, or a slut. I'm tired of hearing that she's hysterical. I'm tired of hearing how ugly she'd be if she got into the Oval Office for eight years. It's amazing how nasty the politics of change has become.

I must say I never bought the line: the politics of change. Obama didn't represent the change, nor did he look like the change-oriented leader he is touted to be when he chose not to have Donnie McClurkin, formerly gay, now decidely anti-gay evangelist, bumped from the Obama revivalist road show that was touring the South Carolina countryside before the primary. Oh, he begged to disagree with McClurkin, but he made the decision, a politically wise decision, not to push back too hard on this issue. He needed to capture the black vote, a significant part of which is comprised of homophobic churchgoing folks. Pushing McClurkin off the bandwagon would be for Obama akin to rubbing the faces of his most important constituency in his moral disapproval.

Is Obama a homophobe? No. He's just a politician who talks all the time about change. Of course, white working class voters want change to, but they sense that Obama does not really represent their interests, and his association with Wright tends to confirm their suspicions that his values and interests are not theirs. He comes off as elitist and, unfortunately, his supporters don't help him when they make fun of anyone who doesn't hold their view of Obama's transcendental qualities.

I wish the party luck in November, but I won't be voting for Barak Obama.

Will Obama's projections on NC and IN be accurate?

I have no idea. I threw them out to flesh out the idea that Obama had a 50 state strategy from the start, unlike Hillary, and despite what Rose said. It'll be interesting to compare the estimated to actual.

I agree that some won't vote for either a woman or an AA. But they probably wouldn't have voted for Edwards or Biden or Dodd or Richardson either in the general. And we really crossed that Rubicon by SC when Edwards was the last to drop out. We need to focus now on ignoring the fanatical right-wing base (though they are doing pretty good on their own -lots of votes for Huckabee and Paul in PA), inspiring the independents, and getting some new voters into the process. That's how we will win come November. It's too late for anything else, unless we expect Al Gore or equivalent to descend from the heavens on a sunbeam in Denver.