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Obama can't close the deal
Clinton notches another do-or-die big-state win in Pennsylvania. Which is more troubling for Democrats -- her scorched-earth tactics or Obama's failure to build on his base?
By Walter Shapiro [2008-04-23]

  • I know it has been said already...

    Certainly, despite a six-day bus tour through blue-collar Pennsylvania, there was little in the returns to suggest that the first-term Illinois senator has expanded his coalition beyond those initially attracted to his inspirational candidacy.

    Little in returns to suggest an expansion of Obama's coalition? You must be kidding, Shapiro. Obama trailed Clinton in almost every poll from Pennsylvania since the beginning of this contest.

    RealClearPolitics (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_democratic_primary-240.html) shows the trend since Feburary--a trend that shows, after an initial spike for HRC, a continuous "expansion of [Obama's] coalition" and a dwindling of Clinton's support.

    American Research Group even had Clinton up by 16 points this week (http://americanresearchgroup.com/).

    It should come to no surprise to anyone that Clinton beat Obama in Pennsylvania. However, the victory wasn't enough to dent Obama's overall lead.

    -- sitka0230
    [Read sitka0230's other letters]
    Wednesday, April 23, 2008 04:47 AM
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