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@ Mickey
Also, no one really knows how Obama will ultimately fare against the VRWC.
His campaign is unprecedented, which is one of its strengths. Could also be one of its weaknesses. How this will all shake out is unknown, especially when you factor in McCain's baggage, war, Bush, economy, etc.
There are just so many factors that reducing it to which of the two candidates can "survive the right-wing attack machine" really misses the mark. If this election turns on the power of said machine, no Democrat will win.
This election isn't about surviving such a machine, but taking it on directly, repudiating it and its legacy, not simply parrying its thrusts.
To do the latter is to grant it an unmerited legitimacy.