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Hillary at twilight
Was her campaign stop in an Ohio town called Hanging Rock a metaphor -- or a symbol of dogged defiance?
By Walter Shapiro [2008-02-29]

  • @reality counts, kate-tex, and ethics-prof

    I know that this is now an emotional issue and not a rational one, and I don't imagine that there is anything I can say that will change your mind. However, there is just no evidence to support the theory that Obama will lose against McCain. None. Nadda. Zip. In fact most polling indicates that Obama beats McCain and Hillary doesn't. You can see for yourself here:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

    here:

    http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/02/25/opinion/polls/main3874915.shtml

    and here:

    http://www.presidentelectionpolls.com/2008/presidential-matchups/barack-obama-vs-john-mccain.html

    One exception is Rassmussen which has McCain beating Obama by 3% points and beating Hillary by 4% points:

    http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

    It is illogical to suggest that because Obama lost the primaries in CA, NY, NJ and MA that he will not carry those traditionally Democratic states in the general election. Even if every single primary voter who voted for Clinton stays home. Obama won more votes in most of these primaries than McCain, Romney and Huckabee combined. There is no reason and no evidence to suggest that the majority of voters in these traditionally Democratic states will not vote for Obama simply because he is not Hillary. The idea that Democratic voters in these states would rather vote for, pro-war, anti-abortion, anti-health care reform, pro-Hagee, McCain just flies in the face of reason.

    If you have some evidence or actual historical references to support this argument, I'd love to hear them. I think there are a lot of reasons to vote for Hillary, so I don't begrudge you your choice. These aren't some of them though.

    -- little lord baltimore
    [Read little lord baltimore's other letters]
    Saturday, March 1, 2008 11:23 AM
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