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@ pantanal
The only voters with whom Hillary still has a slight edge are undereducated(no college degree), over 55 blue color whites. Do you guys believe that you can win a general election with this group?
To answer your question, (even though I am not "the Clinton campaign", just another Mossad agent like KateTex) these are the voters lovingly known as "Reagan Democrats", and no democrat has been able to win without them. Hillary is popular with them. Obama is not. They will likely go with McCain this time if Obama is the nominee.
I don't have anything in particular against under-educated white people except that they seem to be uncomfortable with non-white persidential candidates, ...
Could you please provide examples of, oh let's say 3 or 4 other non-white presidential candidates and supporting documentary evidence for your contention of the "discomfort" ? Thanks.
@ cecilbeanie
The glee with which they predict that Obama can't possibly beat McCain and, boy, "won't we be sorry then" is childish.
I have no glee, but it's not childish... it's history.
The Republicans will (as always) run a dirty, ugly, nasty, and bloody campaign - it will make Hillary and Barack seem like Sam and Diane on "Cheers." And it will be that way whether Clinton or Obama is the Democratic nominee.
I agree. The only difference is, all the stuff they will throw at Clinton is OLD... Whitewater? Cattle Futures Travelgate?.... Big Yawn... Ah, but Obama is fresh meat for the republican slime dogs... Rezco? Farrakhan? votes, speeches, associations? who knows. If there are skeletons, real or imaginary, the republicans will find them.
I have another post where I lay out a few other reasons that I think history predicts that Obama will not win the general should he get that far, so I won't repeat them, but I'll add one other here. If Obama fights the seating of the Florida delegation in particular, how do you think they are going to feel come November? Well, maybe Florida is not important for the democrats to win in November. I'll have to go check history on that one.
I really don't want to join the chorus suggesting that Obama supporters are delusional, but if anyone really thinks he can win the general election by winning the red states and losing the blue states.... well, maybe I just won't comment. (And, just to head off any suggestion that it is impossible for a democrat to lose the blue states, please check the results for the elections of 1972, 1980, 1984 & 1988).
Since neither Clinton NOR Obama will have the required number of pledged delegates to secure the nomination, no matter what happens in the contests ahead, the nomination will be determined by superdelegates. Face it. That's what has to happen. I admit I want Hillary to stay in until the convention. So, if Obama implodes before August, she might be able to pick up the pieces. If he holds on to his current popularity, the supers will likely vote for him. They are not stupid. If, on the other hand, "things" happen and lets say by August the polls show McCain beating Obama 70 to 30 or something equally unforseen, well, the superdelegates were created in order to keep the democratic party from going over a cliff.
So, who beats McCain? Well, if the Democrats are destroyed before they even get to the general election, McCain wins. Unfortunately, that could happen.
In this sad tale I must unfortunately concur. It is quite likely that we have, once again, managed to shoot ourselves in the foot... a presidential campaign strategy we seem to have perfected.