I need to remember it for tomorrow.

We all know the real reason, but I should score a few points amongst my more progressive friends for not stating what is obvious to everyone.

Clinton's 1 1/2 hours of hallmark channel town hall was stunning. She is so impressive, knowledgable, trustworthy. Obama fluff = super bowl advertisement. Clinton depth on the issues and caring about the work she will do as the president = 1 1/2 hour long town hall on February 4. All of you undecideds take note of the difference between these two candidates.

I suspect the ad buys have been a bit low because both candidates know they can't score a knockout this round. They have to keep some money in the coffers for the upcoming primaries that will decide the nominee. Although, technically I think if Obama wins California, which it now looks like is possible, it could be called a knockout. The momentum will just too much for the Clinton camp.

Most polls do suggest Obama enjoying a surge at the moment. But most polls have been wrong lately.

Make no mistake: As the prohibitive frontrunner for over a year, Clinton should win tomorrow. She's got the name recognition and the party establishment behind her. And indeed, Tsunami Tuesday was originally crafted to play to her strengths.

If Obama can keep it relatively close in the delegate count, he's done what he has to do to move forward. If anything above and beyond that happens, it's gravy. But right now, it's just about Obama staying alive to get it back to more manageable contests in the near future.

He'll do pretty well, but I think its a safe bet for Clinton.

Now if I can only keep from throwing a rock at my TV everytime that smug bastard, Wolf Blitzer, comes on, it should make for some exciting televison.

California will be the state to watch. Obama is surging like mad here. Zogby has him ahead already. If the enthusiam continues I forsee a possible huge win here, perhaps as high as ten points. Romney may actually have a shot here as well, although it's probably too little too late.

I'll be absolutely fascinated by the demographic breakdowns after the fact in CA, and I hope Salon takes a look at what will have happened the day after.

The LA Times is running a story on some push polling that's being done in S. California.

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/02/breaking-news-p.html

"Phil Singer, the spokesman for the Clinton campaign. was contacted by e-mail last night. He answered that he was there. He was asked if the Clinton campaign was behind the push-poll, knew who was behind it or had any other information on it. That was at 5:27 p.m. Pacific time Saturday. As of this item's posting time, exactly eight hours later, no reply had been received."