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Tuesday, February 5, 2008 12:00 AM

Super Tuesday showdown

A crucial turning point in the battle between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton? From New Jersey's independents to Arizona's Latino voters, here's what to watch for in the wave of returns.

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  • Monday, February 4, 2008 07:24 PM

    Beware expectation creep.

    Most polls do suggest Obama enjoying a surge at the moment. But most polls have been wrong lately.

    Make no mistake: As the prohibitive frontrunner for over a year, Clinton should win tomorrow. She's got the name recognition and the party establishment behind her. And indeed, Tsunami Tuesday was originally crafted to play to her strengths.

    If Obama can keep it relatively close in the delegate count, he's done what he has to do to move forward. If anything above and beyond that happens, it's gravy. But right now, it's just about Obama staying alive to get it back to more manageable contests in the near future.

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