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Read other letters about this article
Farhad relies primarily on Mark Lindeman, Elizabeth Liddle, and Mark Blumenthal.
Here is a short piece that explains why these three wanna-be exit poll and election experts have never made a scientifically valid case:
http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/USCV_exit_poll_analysis.pdf
Here is an early rebuttal by Lindeman.
http://inside.bard.edu/~lindeman/doppresponse.pdf
and US Count Votes counter-rebuttal:
http://uscountvotes.org/ucvAnalysis/US/exit-polls/ESI/Mark-Lindeman-Response.pdf
Everything that Lindeman writes needs to be checked against the source documents to prevent him from rewriting history. Farhad obviously did not do this.
Any professor with credentials in mathematics or statistics would agree with US Count Votes and not the wanna-be experts that Farhad trusts.
Why has no reputable scientific journal published Mitofsky's (and Election Science Institute's) bogus red shift/swing Ohio exit poll analysis?
Why has no reputable scientific journal has published any of Liddle or Lindeman's "distort and analyze" "exit poll response bias measures"?
Neither has any support in the scientific community - because they are mere sophistry.
No scientific theory is proven true until it can be independently replicated.
Why did Mitofsky not release the exit polling factors data that he claims shows that exit poll error caused the one-sided pro-Kerry discrepancies? (None of the exit polling factors data would violate voter anonymity, so there is no reason not to release it publicly.)
Why did Mitofsky not release sufficient data for a standard normal customary exit poll analysis for even one state (vote count data with small precincts blurred, corresponding exit poll data and sample sizes)? (Ron and I had to estimate the sample sizes from a sub-sample available at the Roper institute - with conservative assumptions.)
Why did Mitofsky present an entirely bogus analysis (the ESI analysis that is mathematical nonsense), and then not present ANY standard customary exit poll analysis accepted by statisticians for generations?
Farhad asks "Why didn't anyone protest the large exit poll discrepancy in the Clinton/Bush I race?"
Because NOT ENOUGH Votes were switched in the Clinton/Bush I election to CHANGE THE OUTCOME.
The Question to Ask Is: Why does anyone imagine that votes are counted accurately when the election industry is the only industry where no independent audits are performed to prevent insider manipulation?
