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Since you seem to be following these letters pretty closely, I have one question on exit polling which troubles me that I would dearly like to have a solid answer to:
In the modern era of national elections, how many times previous to 2000 (with Gore in Florida) have exit polls proven to be wrong? Going further, how many statewide exit polls for electoral office (president, senator or governor) in the modern era have been wrong? Honestly, prior to Florida in 2000, I simply do not ever recall projections based on exit polling later needing to be explained away as wrong. Do you?