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Monday, December 17, 2007 12:00 AM

This Modern World

The trouble with Hillary.

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  • Monday, December 17, 2007 08:10 AM

    The myth of Hillary

    This cartoon sums up nicely why I am against Hillary. I will of course vote for her should she win the primary. But even if I liked her as a leader, I would be against her for tactical reasons. Here is the summary from

    http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm

    For head-to-head matchups on popular vote:

    Hillary: 48-54% depending on opponent

    Obama: 46-55% depending on opponent

    Edwards: 53-60% depending on opponent

    Obviously electoral vote analysis would be more meaningful, but when you factor in Republican fraud and the attack machine, we need the biggest margin of error we can get. The numbers above are +/- 3% by the way, which means Hillary could range 51-57% and Edwards could range 50-57% but the chances of that are quite small (much much less than 1%).

    Finally, I have recently switched from Obama to Edwards based on the Iowa debate. Edwards is the only candidate that seems like he understands the core message of Krugman's most recent book, and he seems to have improved his rhetoric substantially since the early season (two Americas... blah blah blah).

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