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William Ockham

Published Letters: 4

Monday, January 5, 2009 10:06 AM

Dawn Johnsen's view of the OLC

Sorry, links not allowed, except in the sig. You can find the article there.

Monday, January 5, 2009 10:03 AM

Dawn Johnsen's view of the OLC

She wrote an interesting article on her view of the OLC. You can download the .pdf version here.

Monday, November 3, 2008 03:22 PM

Prediction made 6 weeks ago

On September 18th, I predicted the likely popular vote as:

Obama 54%, McCain 43%, Others 3%.

Variance Obama 50-57%, McCain 40-45%, Others 3-5%

Click my sig for the fivethirtyeight.com comment on Sept. 18. The race broke for Obama a little earlier than I expected, but I'm satisfied with my prediction. The likely EV is 375 for Obama, 162 for McCain. Obama could go as high as 394 if he picks up Georgia, North Dakota, and one EV in Nebraska. If he loses in Missouri and Indiana, he's down to 352.

Thursday, September 25, 2008 07:39 AM
Original article: Correction on Sarah Palin

Does Palin really know anything about energy?

Glenn said:

What seems most likely is that she's perfectly conversant in the exceedingly narrow and parochial range of issues she's concerned herself with as Wasilla Mayor and Alaska Governor -- oil drilling on the North Slope, specific local budget items, corruption issues inside the Alaskan State GOP, and evangelical and religious matters.

I don't think she has mastered energy issues, despite her the fact that she served on the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission. Did you see her answer at a town hall meeting to a question about keeping oil from domestic drilling in the U.S.?

Oil and coal? Of course, it's a fungible commodity and they don't flag, you know, the molecules, where it's going and where it's not. But in the sense of the Congress today, they know that there are very, very hungry domestic markets that need that oil first. So, I believe that what Congress is going to do, also, is not to allow the export bans to such a degree that it's Americans that get stuck to holding the bag without the energy source that is produced here, pumped here. It's got to flow into our domestic markets first.

That's not just gibberish, that's gibberish resulting from a cram session on the energy industry. This woman negotiated a natural gas pipeline deal with TransCanada, stiffing the big players, and she can't even express the most basic industry concepts coherently. Click on my signature for the gory details, but the short version is Palin conflated two meanings of fungible in botching that answer. I can't imagine anyone with real experience in the business making that type of mistake.

What is clear is that she is an effective political operator. I still haven't seen any evidence she has any policy strengths.

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