Letters posted here are associated with the following Salon Premium Member:

Brian - Seattle

Published Letters: 577
Editor's Choice: 10

Sunday, March 9, 2008 12:04 AM
Original article: Obama takes Wyoming

@Mike J

Exactly

It's not that it needs to make any logical sense, it just needs to LOOK like you can win.

Pennsylvania is a "blue-collar" state, so is Ohio and Michigan. Who won those? Hillary. What states will be battleground states? Those 3. Who is the democratic base? Voters in those states. You could argue that Iowa, Wisconsin and perhaps, Virginia are also in there but who has the bigger delegate count? Hillary victory states.

What happens if Flordia is seated or has a re-vote? Hillary is going to play strong there and will probably win.

Now what? Well of course CA, WA, OR, MA, NY will go for Obama, they have in the last few elections. But she also took AZ (not in contest for Nov due to McCain being a senator there), NM, and NV.

See how this perception thing is working now? I totally agree with most of you on the fact that all states are important and we have a delegate system, which Obama will win. But the issue here is not that system, it's the superdelegates. They do not have to follow their state, their district or their party. They can vote for whomever they want.

So I ask you this: If Hillary has the popular vote, is losing by 100 pledged delegates, the MI/FL thing works in her favor somehow (or even is a nonfactor as it is now), and she wins PA....What way do you think the superdelegates go? What if she convinces Obama to accept the VP? Now what do they do?

It's not just a numbers game people, it's a perception game. All you need to do is have the perception you are a winner. Hillary got that on Tuesday with OH/TX. If she takes the popular vote before this is over, I don't see any way of stopping her getting the nomination or at least somewhat legitimately claiming she should be the nominee. Honestly? I think she has a pretty good claim to it under this scenario. It's the only scenario besides gaining the delegate lead, which won't happen, but honestly ask yourself what realistically will happen here. What is best for the party?

Interesting isn't it?

BTW, I'm an Obama supporter.

Saturday, March 8, 2008 07:28 PM
Original article: Obama takes Wyoming

Oh and the MI/FL thing

I'm assuming that this won't be decided by the PA vote. If Hillary wins PA, then the MI/FL re-vote or not will benefit her and allow her to gain more popular vote or more delegates, which again probably do not matter anymore since she cannot reasonably take the lead.

It's all on PA.

Saturday, March 8, 2008 07:25 PM
Original article: Obama takes Wyoming

I wouldn't get worked up over how Hillary spins it

It doesn't matter. Neither does MS. Sure, I agree that they are delegates and a win is a win, but the only state that matters anymore is Pennsylvania. If Hillary wins that state by more than 5 points, it's going to be a rough convention.

Here are the outcomes I see after PA vote(assuming the highly unlikely scenario that Hillary can get a pledged delegate lead)

1 - Obama wins PA, contest over. Hillary drops out, Obama goes on to win November.

2 - Hillary wins PA and gets lead in popular vote by the end. Hillary swings supers to her, promises Obama VP, she's nominee.

3 - Hillary wins PA and doesn't get popular vote, she fights all the way to the bitter end slinging mud as much as possible, takes up the media spot light, Obama loses in November due to a hideous primary that allowed the GOP to mobilize and gain free ammunition from Hillary.

For this to finally be over and for him to win in November, Obama must win PA. There is no other decisive way to do it. He missed his chance in TX and OH, but that's all over now. He might have the delegate lead but you can't honestly tell me that Hillary doesn't have some plan set up if she wins PA and still doesn't close the gap in delegates. If she gets the popular vote somehow, I honestly think the pledged delegates won't matter a bit if she promises the VP spot to Obama after the supers swing her way, which she'll strongarm to vote for her.

Friday, March 7, 2008 12:50 PM

Pot - Kettle and soforth

It's this type of hypocrisy that is turning me off to politics these days.

Wednesday, March 5, 2008 12:11 PM

As an Obama supporter

I don't think he'd be where he is now if they counted the first time and I don't think he'll win them a second either.

We need something decisive to end this nomination. Right now I only see one way to beat McCain. A Clinton/Obama ticket. I won't vote for her any other way and I feel a good part of the country wouldn't be excited if it weren't this choice.

So in effect, I'm hoping for a revote to make this race more decisive or give Clinton a legitimate claim to the nomination, which right now she does not have.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008 09:42 PM
Original article: "Yes, she will"

Getting tired of hearing that Clinton came back

She was ahead in the polls for the whole month.

JFC - now the media is picking up Hillary for SIX appearances on the morning shows tomorrow.

Tuesday, March 4, 2008 08:49 PM
Original article: Clinton wins Ohio

Love the Unity here

I don't know how the party is going to come together after this constant bashing of each other's pick for the nominee.

Why is it that democrats never can figure out how to vote FOR someone instead of voting AGAINST someone? At the beginning of this campaign I was very excited about it and now I'm almost sick after watching so many people go at each other like you all are. Cheap shots, twisted lies, spin spun again and again. Does it ever end? Do you really think this is good for the party?

I want to vote for someone in November, not vote against McCain. Because if you think that's going to work, you better look at the history of democratic nominees for president. Wonder why we keep losing?

Most Active Letters Threads

326

A key British official reminds us of the forgotten anthrax attack

A vast array of establishment and expert sources do not believe this episode was really resolved.
323

Tough-guy John Bolton, hiding under his bed

As usual, right-wing pseudo-warriors are drowning in extreme cowardice.
154

Phil Carter's resignation from key detainee policy post

Many of the "War on Terror" policies he spent years condemning were ones expressly embraced by Obama.
131

Is Obama's civil liberties record understandable?

Was it unreasonable to expect him to adhere to his commitments regarding the Constitution?
99

Palin, Prejean: Beastly treatment for beauties

The governor turned author must fight what the pageant queen learned: Politics and hotness make strange bedfellows

View all »

Letters Help

Currently in Salon