Clurman wrote about the possible impact of youth vote's surge in election, but Gallup has a very informative survey that shows history is just not on the side of Obama to get the youth vote out enough to matter for him to win...other factors may cause his electoral success, but not young voters:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111310/Young-Voters-Favor-Obama-How-Many-Will-Vote.aspx

I have been saying this for ages...young people don't turn out, and they simply will not turn out enough to make a difference this year, no matter what any pundit claims.

Fox has people e-mail incidents of voter fraud they spot...and they are not going to be in favor of Obama!

Don't be so naive, Glenn...I mean, come on...!

Boring...move along.

...was Obama's remark to Joe The Plumber about "sharing the wealth"...if anything may cost him the election, this classically boneheaded remark just plays into the Republican playbook about how they view Democrats as socialists...it is so antithetical to how we think in America, so wrongheaded to provide welfare to those who don't deserve it, to give money to people who don't even pay taxes...what WAS he thinking?

Already, three polls have shown Obama's supposed bump in polls has been all but obliterated...and this would be why.

Somehow this didn't get added in:

...share the wealth comment to the now infamous Joe The Plumber freaks out a lot of Americans...

Namely thus:

Moreover, it's far from clear which version of Barack Obama will end up governing -- the cautious and principle-free centrist who sought out Joe Lieberman's mentorship and then endorsed him over an anti-war Democratic insurgent; the high-minded and establishment-challenging change agent of the Democratic primary; or the bland establishment figure of the general election seeking to minimize, even erase, every difference he has with Republicans. I doubt he even knows, but there are some possibilities that are quite bad (though, if he wins, he's certainly entitled to actually do things before being assessed one way or the other).

The "cautious" and "bland establishment" character is what scares me about Obama, and the "share the wealth" comment to the now

You can't be serious, Shapiro...you CAN'T be...is the punditry that out of touch with the rest of the country?

It wasn't long ago that racism reared its repellent head in North Carolina...that the pundits now imagine the state among others has become the bastion of tolerance, open mindedness and racial harmony is not only dangerously short sighted but patently foolish. Race will not suddenly become a non-issue because of Obama...to think that this would be so is the height of idiocy and short-sightedness...it's still there...I hear even in solidly blue New Jersey otherwise perfectly rational professionals say they would never vote for Obama because of his skin color...these are not frothing at the mouth, scary militiamen, neo-Nazis or Klansmen. If this is true in the polyglot that is New Jersey, then what would it be in the back country of Appalachian North Carolina? Let's step back and take a reality check here...

Americans, in their classic ability to have extraordinarily short attention spans, are now ignoring the most serious drama the country is facing...far worse than the credit crisis, which shows the world's innate greed and selfish concern for one's own pocketbook...

It isn't the smears of Obama that have mattered, but the way McCain handled the credit crisis...his numbers tanked the day he said the economy was sound and then tried to backtrack...we may very well attribute that fateful day as the time when McCain lost this election. The smears are secondary if not tertiary in his decline.

I usually enjoy your posts, but stooping to childish name calling is a little beyond the pale...maybe the reason Wall Street would not be displeased with Obama is that he has managed to rake in quite a bit of cash from the downtown set, a fact you ignore conveniently. However, there was little if any correlation with the rise in the markets and Obama's poll numbers...to imagine there is is way dumber than anything Jonah Goldberg is theorizing. If the eoonomy was sailing along, Obama's uptick would never have happened...granted, if McCain hadn't claimed the economy was sound when it wasn't, then his numbers certainly wouldn't have tanked...the race was close before that...I have no doubt in my mind that it will tighten up again, as it has seesawed back and forth for months...Obama may win, but it will not be a landslide...I would say 52-48 at best.

Stay away from analysis of the markets, Glenn...your over your head...bigtime.