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My guess is that very soon we'll see the national polls and polls in the Feb. 5 primary states begin to shift away from Clinton. If Obama bests her decisively in NH that great sucking sound you hear (to quote Mr. Perot) will be the air going out of the Clinton balloon. If she gains the nomination through some insider fun and games the Democrats will lose the general election.
The future of the Democratic party isn't the Clintons. Four or eight years from now Obama's star will have dimmed. He's become a sensation, and they have to use him now. Hillary clinton went into Iowa a superstar politician. She flopped. If she flops in NH. The pressure will start to push here out before the clinton attack machine can crank up to full speed. She's a dead end and the Democrats can't afford to let the clintons smear their star attraction.
I don't think this time it will. Just watching the farce that was the Republican debate Saturday night I felt they had played that card once too often now. People seem exhausted. "Change" has become such a cliche in the campaign already, but people are ready to move on.
1996 was a dozen years ago. We're not static. And Colin Powell is no Barak Obama. Colin Powell at his core is the good General who takes orders. In Barak Obama's case I have a feeling his racial make up will work in his favor. People are ready to put the rancor behind them. The Republicans are playing to their Christian and arch conservative base. Those who try using racist tactics or who would never vote for him because of his race would never vote for a Democrat, period.
On stage last week in Iowa Hillary clinton was surrounded by the past (her husband, Albright, Clark...). Obama was surrounded by the fresh faces of his suporters. Theater, yes (on both sides), but boy was Obama's theater riviting. I don't agree with Obama on everything, and I've had issues with him, but he is like opening a window on the first nice day of Spring. Clinton is stale.
I think we'll see the Democratic Party reform itself around him. The REpublicans look like a bunch of loons. I don't see their attacks sticking this time. But the Democrats can't afford to let the Clinton's ambition and vanity cause problems. I still say, if she loses decisively tomorrow, she's finished.
...those two will be starring in a revival of Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? on Broadway.
They seem very sad, pathetic and small. If this is the way they behave after losing the Iowa caucus just imagine what we'd be in store for if she was President?! This really does shine a light on the limitations of Bill Clinton's oily charms.
I say if she loses tomorrow night her speech will be along the lines of, "You motherfuckers are no better than the rubes in Iowa!" with Albright and Clark dressed like Tweedle Dum and Tweedle Dee behind her.
I can see a terrible, terrible Sunset Boulevard ending instore. She loses BIG on February 5, locks herself in her hotel room, stunned supporters and an army of cameras and reporters fill the lobby. Campaign workers are in a state of panic. Penn is stunned. Suddenly Bill Clinton has an idea.
"Turn your cameras towards the stairs. Hillary, the motortcade is ready. Its time to go to the White House...""
Because the people in that one state were the subject of intense campaigning. Because they were the first to make their choice. It was palyed out on the national stage and we all saw how they voted and why. We saw how the candidates campaigned and how they reacted to the results. It was the first serious connection with them beyond a generic poll where most people pick the most recognizable name.
Her sobfest today was cringe-worthy. If campaigning is hard enough to reduce her to tears (no matter how fake they appeared) what the heck would happen when the real hard part comes after she's elected? Not even one week after the first official contest in the primaries and its already turned in the Psychotic Clinton Circus. Enough. She's making a fool of herself, and her husband looks old and senile.
If she loses tomorrow let her kick and scream her way through SC then the Democrats need to toss the Clintons aside. By that time I have a feeling her doners might have done so already.
I should have bought that beach front property in Iowa when I had the chance.
Hmmm. He didn't mention Titanic.
Watching Bill Clinton now is like watching Elvis shortly before the end. There is that odd mixture of horror and amusement.
Hell, she's been "making change for 35 years." why stop now?
I knew things would get ugly with the Clintons back on the scene, but I had no idea it would turn this almost surreal. The money will dry up. It sounds like prominent Democrats are gearing up to endorse Obama. Next week Obama will make star appearances in New York and California. If she does manage to get a 527 started to smear someone in her own party (someone who by all accounts is inspiring greatly increased turnouts) she'll be comitting career suicide. The Clintons will be banished.
...unless the plan is to scoop up as much money as possible before the fat cat doners completely bail out, drop out of the primaries, save her money and run as a third party candidate. At this point she's already making a spectacle of herself. I t wouldn't suprise me if she went completely overboard.